Independent economic intelligence
Economy-wide modelling, policy analysis and feasibility studies for the governments that shape economies and the investors who build in them.
Economy-wide models
CGE frameworks linking every sector, household and the public budget
Policy scenarios
Baseline projections and what-if paths for reform options
Investment decisions
Feasibility, financial and economic appraisal
Arabic & English
Analysis, reports and briefings in both languages
Who we work with
Public policy and private investment ask different questions. Both deserve analysis that is rigorous, transparent and built around the decision at hand.
01 / Governments & ministries
We build and run economy-wide CGE models that show how a policy travels through every sector, household and the public budget — before it is implemented.
02 / Investors & companies
Launching a project, expanding capacity or rebalancing a portfolio? We test the market, the numbers and the risks before capital is committed.
Our point of view
Interactive preview
Pick a policy, change its size and the time horizon, and watch the economy’s path move against the baseline. Some reforms cost before they pay — that trade-off is exactly what our CGE work quantifies, with real data, for real decisions.
Scenario controls
Choose a policy, set its size and the time horizon. The path compares the economy with and without the policy.
Construction demand lifts output quickly; the new capital stock raises productive capacity over time.
INDEX · BASELINE YEAR 0 = 100
Illustrative demonstration with stylised coefficients. In a real engagement the scenario is run on a CGE model calibrated to national accounts and a Social Accounting Matrix.
Model intelligence
Not every question needs the same framework. These are the families of methods behind our work — often combined in one engagement.
Methodology spotlight
Economy-wide models calibrated to a Social Accounting Matrix. They capture how industries, households, government and the rest of the world interact, so a policy change in one place shows up everywhere it matters.
Methodology spotlight
A consistent projection of where the economy is heading under current policies — the reference point every scenario is measured against. We combine macro-econometric relationships with the structure of the national accounts.
Methodology spotlight
Statistical estimation of the relationships that drive a market or an economy — demand, prices, trade flows, productivity — using time series and panel data. It grounds models and forecasts in evidence.
Methodology spotlight
Household-level models built on survey data that translate a policy into gains and losses for real households — by income group, region and household type.
Methodology spotlight
Project-level models that compare costs and benefits over the life of an investment — financially for the investor and economically for society — with full sensitivity and risk analysis.
Analytical applications
Alongside advisory work, we develop applications that put structured analysis in the hands of the teams who use it every day.
CBA
Appraise a project or policy by setting its costs and benefits side by side over its whole life — discounting, net present value, benefit-cost ratio, economic rate of return and sensitivity tests in one structured workflow.
SMAT
Find out how far an organisation has come on sustainability. A structured assessment scores current practice, shows where the gaps are and sets priorities for the next steps.
ERToller
Set up and run system-dynamics-type computable general equilibrium models through a graphical user interface built around TROLL — instead of working directly in its technical environment.
eModeler
Design the structure of an economic model from the national accounts and the Social Accounting Matrix — matched to the sectors in official data and the indicators and policies the government needs to test.
How we work
01
Agree the question, the options on the table and the criteria that will decide between them.
02
Assemble national accounts, survey, market and project data, and choose a transparent method that fits.
03
Run scenarios against the baseline, stress-test the assumptions and show which ones really matter.
04
Clear reports and briefings for decision-makers — and the model itself, if you want to keep using it.
The next conversation
Tell us about the decision in front of you. We will come back with how we would approach it — the questions, the data and the method.
